Barrick Gold is a Hold as Long as Gold Prices Stay Stagnant Barrick Gold has been volatile since reporting a dip in gold production. Is this a time to buy on the dip, or has the glitter come off of gold?

By Chris Markoch

This story originally appeared on MarketBeat

MarketBeat.com - MarketBeat

Barrick Gold (NYSE: GOLD) was up more than 6% the day after the stock dropped 9% after delivering earnings on November 3. The report gave investors good news and bad news.

On the positive side, the gold miner beat on both the top and bottom lines. Revenue came in at $2.53 billion which was 2.5% better than the $2.47 billion that was forecast. And earnings were even stronger. The 13 cents earnings per share were more than 18% higher than the 10 cents EPS analysts were expecting.

Now the bad news. For the third consecutive quarter, the company posted declining earnings. And both revenue and earnings are significantly lower on a year-over-year basis.

GOLD stock quickly sliced through a previous support level, and it undoubtedly confounded traders who saw a double bottom form in the stock price in the last two months. Is this a time to buy on the dip, or is a stronger dollar a time to stay away from gold?

The Company Missed Its Production Targets

According to Barrick CEO Mark Bristow, the company's gold production fell 9% from 1.09 million ounces to 998 ounces. This enabled a 22.7% year-over-year increase in the company's all-in-sustaining costs (ASIC), a key industry metric. Barrick also announced its ASIC for copper production increased. However, in this case, the company saw an increase in copper production.

Barrick's issues are not isolated. Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) announced an even steeper drop in production volume.

Barrick says it's still on schedule to fulfill its full-year production forecast. However, that was not enough to keep GOLD stock from dropping initially. And even with the bounce back this morning, the stock still sits below earlier support levels.

And for that, you can blame the Federal Reserve.

Has Gold Lost Its Luster?

Gold is having a case of mistaken identity. One of the most frequently stated reasons to own gold is that it serves as a hedge against inflation. However, the spot price of gold hasn't served as much of a hedge against inflation in 2022. At the present time, a strong dollar and rising interest rates are making cash and even bonds more attractive options for investors.

In fact, in the wake of the Federal Reserve's fourth 75 basis point interest rate hike in 2022, the spot price of gold dropped to its lowest level since 2020. And while gold may be outperforming equities, less bad is hardly a bullish argument.

Nevertheless, gold traders seem content to hold on to their gold and that means that gold prices may not have hit a bottom yet.

Is GOLD Stock a Buy-the-Dip Candidate?

In addition to being a hedge against inflation, another common argument for owning gold is that the yellow metal helps diversify an investor's portfolio. That remains indisputable. And mining stocks like Barrick Gold are considered a way to invest in gold without having to take possession of the physical metal.

Mining stocks also give investors the benefit of a dividend that they can't get from owning physical metal. Barrick Gold doesn't offer the best dividend in its class, but investors do get something for holding onto the stock.

Right now, the GOLD stock should be a buy, but with gold continuing to not move that much, and interest rates likely to go higher, it's likely to trade in a range that makes it hold for now.

Want to be an Entrepreneur Leadership Network contributor? Apply now to join.

Business Ideas

63 Small Business Ideas to Start in 2024

We put together a list of the best, most profitable small business ideas for entrepreneurs to pursue in 2024.

Business Ideas

Is Your Business Healthy? Why Every Entrepreneur Needs To Do These 3 Checkups Every Year

You can't plan for the new year until you complete these checkups.

Leadership

The End of Bureaucracy — How Leadership Must Evolve in the Age of Artificial Intelligence

What if bureaucracy, the very system designed to maintain order, is now the greatest obstacle to progress?

Business News

A New Hampshire City Was Named the Hottest Housing Market in the U.S. This Year. Here's the Top 10 for 2024.

Zillow released its annual lists featuring the top housing markets, small towns, coastal cities, and geographic regions. Here's a look at the top real estate markets and towns in 2024.